Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 0.016658 0.020847 0.026347 0.034330 0.046054 0.063415 9.277584e-02
2025-01-26 0.012559 0.017429 0.024902 0.038099 0.063183 0.115585 2.628093e-01
2025-02-02 0.010527 0.015621 0.024304 0.042017 0.083698 0.205558 8.692315e-01
2025-02-09 0.008804 0.013631 0.022446 0.042329 0.097380 0.314424 3.081837e+00
2025-02-16 0.007619 0.012200 0.021040 0.042742 0.112421 0.489116 2.348917e+01
2025-02-23 0.006708 0.011030 0.019754 0.042753 0.127129 0.763071 2.079730e+06
2025-03-02 0.005831 0.009747 0.017876 0.040309 0.130391 1.010801 NaN
2025-03-09 0.005216 0.008864 0.016654 0.039201 0.139099 1.490379 NaN
2025-03-16 0.004824 0.008357 0.016163 0.040101 0.160479 2.867413 NaN
2025-03-23 0.004458 0.007847 0.015542 0.040326 0.179910 5.813321 NaN
2025-03-30 0.004040 0.007167 0.014370 0.038168 0.180683 8.729141 NaN
2025-04-06 0.003730 0.006682 0.013602 0.037203 0.190224 17.635811 NaN
2025-04-13 0.003544 0.006483 0.013638 0.039831 0.244908 537.595107 NaN
2025-04-20 0.003422 0.006416 0.014037 0.044476 0.352975 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 0.003304 0.006335 0.014379 0.049344 0.520791 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 0.003091 0.005996 0.013875 0.049732 0.624277 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 0.002907 0.005699 0.013436 0.050248 0.758144 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 0.002733 0.005410 0.012954 0.050262 0.901467 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 0.002526 0.005011 0.012050 0.047216 0.889003 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 0.002368 0.004722 0.011455 0.045841 0.961111 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 0.002266 0.004563 0.011259 0.046958 1.236658 NaN NaN
2025-06-15 0.002160 0.004383 0.010959 0.047238 1.518117 NaN NaN
2025-06-22 0.002023 0.004109 0.010291 0.044562 1.474159 NaN NaN